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Young homeowners gain despite stagnant economy

ST. LOUIS, Mo. – June 15, 2009 – If the real estate bust has a bright side, it’s this: People like Lilly Thomas, Stephanie Driskell and Dexter Wuller can finally afford homes.

Falling home prices and an $8,000 federal tax credit are putting homes in reach of young people who couldn’t afford them a few years ago. As a result, real estate agents say starter homes are the only part of the real estate market that’s showing some life.

It’s not a lot of life. House sales this year are down by a third from the boom year of 2006, and the bust spans all price classes. But the lower end of the market – houses priced under $200,000 – is suffering less, and there’s some evidence that a comeback could be beginning.

Now, real estate agents are starting to worry that rising mortgage interest rates may dampen buyers’ enthusiasm. Rates on 30-year mortgages jumped to an average of 5.59 percent last week, up from 4.84 percent a month ago. Meanwhile, many FHA lenders have raised their credit score requirements to 620 from 580, which will seal some people out of the home market.

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International buyers confident of Fla. recovery

MIAMI – June 15, 2009 – Gerson Lehman Group reports that international realty buyers believe the Florida housing market is poised for recovery, and they are paying close attention to distressed properties in the state. The report says these international buyers view homes in the United States as “desirable, profitable and secure” investments.

“Those who delay buying their dream home in Florida may soon find that they have to pay considerably more for the same property in just a few months,” advises the report’s author, Howard Liggett, president of Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services.

Liggett cites data from the National Association of Realtors® and the Florida Association of Realtors® indicating that 25 percent of international buyers are Canadian, 21 percent are British, and 21 percent are western European.

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First-time buyers – A hot market segment

Historically low interest rates. Attractive home prices. Impressive inventory. And now an $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers that can be used as a downpayment on a home.

What’s not to love about this unique scenario for first-time homebuyers in Florida? It’s no wonder this demographic is growing monthly.

Let’s look closer at why the first-time buyer market is so strong:

1. $8,000 tax credit. It’s hard to say “No” to free money, and that’s basically what the federal government is offering with very few strings attached.  Better yet, the money can be used as a downpayment, thanks to FAR’s efforts to pass legislation in Tallahassee in April. 

2. Other government incentives. The 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act opens doors to affordable homeownership to people who had not been able to qualify for loans or hand over large downpayments.    

3. Interest rates. Hovering around 5 percent, this means monthly payments are less than even last year for the same home.

4. A buyer’s market inventory. Nothing needs to be explained here. Everyone wants options and choices when making the most expensive purchase of a lifetime.

5. Price. Florida’s median sales price for existing homes in March 2009 was $141,300; a year ago, it was $201,700. Do the math.

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Bernanke: Economy on pace for ‘09 turnaround

WASHINGTON – June 5, 2009 – The pace of economic contraction is slowing, indicating the economy could bottom out and then turn up later this year, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told the House Budget Committee on June 3. He cited recent reports, including a flattening out of the decline in consumer spending and signs of a bottom in the housing market.

Bernanke said the economy “has contracted sharply since last fall, with real gross domestic product [GDP] having dropped at an average annual rate of about 6 percent during the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of this year,” Bernanke told the committee. He said 6 million jobs have been lost since the downturn began, and recent labor market information “suggests that sizable jobs losses and further increases in unemployment are likely over the next few months.”

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(Above is a Nice Visual of the Short Sale Process.. Owner owes $200,000 on Home.. Property is Worth $125,000.. Seller Finds Buyer, & Writes Purchase Contract for $125,000 & Asks the Bank to Absorb the Deficiency & Release Seller From the Debt.. This Can be  a 3-8-month Process, but Realtors are Trying to Speed it Up..)

Real estate pros push for better short sales

LONG ISLAND, N.Y. – May 11, 2009 – As anybody who has dealt with one knows, short sales should be renamed “long sales.” But that could be changing.

One of the real estate professionals leading the charge to revamp the short-sale process is George K. Wonica, owner of Wonica Real Estate & Appraisals on Long Island, N.Y., and chair of the National Association of Realtors® Conventional Finance and Lending Committee.

Wonica already has met with 10 mortgage bankers and servicers in Florida to address the problem, and plans a similar meeting this summer in Las Vegas. He points to the uniform short-sale form developed by the California Association of Realtors as an example of what the industry needs.

Short sales appear to be good for both banks and buyers. A study by Connecticut-based Clayton Holdings Inc. showed lenders from May to October 2008 lost an average 37 percent through short sales versus 56 percent on homes sold after foreclosure.

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(Florida Plays Host to One of the Most Desirable Places in America to “Tie the Knot”. Weddings Mean.. Romance, Paradise, Beauty, Love, Fun, & Relaxing.. It’s Interesting the Same Words To Describe Wedding, Describe Quality of Life in the Sunshine State..)

Prospects for Florida’s recovery heat up, economists say

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – May 5, 2009 – After two long years of recession, economists are beginning to see signs that the economy’s recovery is finally in sight. South Florida home sales are picking up, Wall Street has staged some solid rallies and even consumer confidence is rising.

But the road to recovery will be uneven. Economists say that an uptick in business spending will lead the way, followed by federal government stimulus projects that will create some jobs. Consumers, unfortunately, are likely to be the last to see good times return, because widespread unemployment – which is now just a notch below 10 percent – won’t start to go down until after the recovery is well under way.

It has been rough, but economists say it’s always that way for Florida.

“It performs better in good times, but during bad times, in recessions, it is one of the worst performing states in the nation,” said Moody’s Economy.com economist Chris Lafakis. “And during times of expansion it is one of the best.”

Some experts say they already see the early signs of such progress.

“The negative numbers just start getting smaller or they stop falling or they fall at a slower rate,” said SunTrust Chief Economist Gregory Miller. It’s like you tumbled out of a boat a while ago and “now we’re at the stage of swimming back to the surface.”

Other economists agree that the worst may be over as soon as this summer. Consumers surely have had enough, judging by the strong jump in Floridians’ consumer confidence this month.

Here’s how economists say the state will find its way out of the slump:

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(When you Flat List with Shirley International Realty, anywhere in the State of Florida, we will also market your home across the top 20 Real Estate Web Search Portals on the Internet.. Our MLS Listing Service is Second to None, & Staged to Sell Your Home While Saving You Money..)

‘Freaky’ side of real estate economics
Flat-fee brokers may put pressure on traditional commissions
Friday, June 23, 2006

By Glenn Roberts Jr.
Inman News

SAN FRANCISCO — Traditional pricing for real estate services is bound to crumble, and flat-fee brokers will likely deliver the deathblow — at least according to Steven D. Levitt, co-author of “Freakonomics,” a book that takes an unconventional approach to economics.

Levitt, who spoke to attendees Thursday at the PCBC builders’ conference and trade show at San Francisco’s Moscone Center, also said that the real estate brokerage industry is in some ways its own worst enemy, as low barriers to entry lead to proportional surges in agent population during housing market booms.

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